Cyclonic Strom FANI to intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm

The Cyclonic Storm ‘FANI’ (pronounced as ‘FONI’) over southeast Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood moved northwards with a speed of about 04 kmph in last six hours and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of 29th April, 2019 near latitude 8.7°N and longitude 86.9°E over southeast Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood, about 620 km east of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 870 km east-southeast of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 1040 km south-southeast of Machilipatnam (Andhra Pradesh). It is very likely to intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 06 hours and into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm during subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move northwestwards till 01st May evening and thereafter recurve north-northeastwards gradually.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST) Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) Category of cyclonic disturbance
29.04.19/0830 8.7/86.9 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
29.04.19/1130 9.3/86.6 85-95 gusting to 110 Cyclonic Storm
29.04.19/1730 10.0/86.3 95-105 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
29.04.19/2330 10.5/86.0 110-120 gusting to 135 Severe Cyclonic Storm
30.04.19/0530 11.0/85.6 120-130 gusting to 145 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
30.04.19/1730 11.9/84.8 130-140 gusting to 155 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
01.05.19/0530 12.5/84.0 150-160 gusting to 175 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
01.05.19/1730 13.1/83.7 160-170 gusting to 185 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
02.05.19/0530 13.7/83.8 170-180 gusting to 195 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
02.05.19/1730 14.5/84.0 170-180 gusting to 195 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
03.05.19/0530 15.5/84.3 165-175 gusting to 190 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
03.05.19/1730 16.5/84.7 160-170 gusting to 185 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
04.05.19/0530 17.5/85.1 155-165 gusting to 180 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Warnings:

  1. Heavy rainfall warning
  • Light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Kerala on 29th & 30th April, 2019. Light to moderate rainfall at a few places over north coastal Tamil Nadu & south coastal Andhra Pradesh on 29th & 30th April, 2019.
  • Light to moderate rainfall at few places very likely over north coastal Andhra Pradesh & south coastal Odisha on 2nd May. It is likely to increase in intensity with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated placs over coastal Odisha & adjoining districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh from 3rd May. Light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places also very likely to commence over coastal districts of West Bengal from 3rd May.
  1. Wind warning
  • Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph is prevailing over Southeast Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph over Southwest Bay of Bengal from 30th morning and 160-170 kmph gusting to 185 kmph over southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts from 01st May evening.
  • Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely along & off Tamilnadu & Puducherry coast, Comorin area and Gulf of Mannar on today the 29thApril, becoming squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph from 30th morning. It is very likely to become squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph from 30th evening along north Tamilnadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts.
  • Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely along & off Kerala coast on today the 29thApril and becoming squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph on 30th.
  • Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is very likely to commence along & off north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha Coasts from 2nd May and likely to become 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph from 3rdMay onwards over the same area.
  1. Sea condition
  • The sea condition is very high over Southeast Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood. It is likely to become phenomenal over southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal, off north Tamilnadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts from 30th morning and over westcentral Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh Coast during 1-3 May 2019.
  • Sea conditions very likely to be rough to very rough along & off Puducherry, Tamilnadu  and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts till 1st May 2019, along & off north Andhra Pradesh Coasts on 1-3 May and along & off Odisha Coast from 2nd May onwards.
  1. Fishermen Warning
  • The fishermen are advised not to venture into deep sea areas of Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean, Southwest Bay of Bengal and off Sri Lanka coast on today the 29th April; Southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal, along & off Sri Lanka, Puducherry, Tamilnadu & south Andhra Pradesh coasts till 1st May, westcentral Bay of Bengal, along & off north Andhra Pradesh Coast during 1-3 May 2019 and northwest & adjoining west]central Bay of Bengal along & off Odisha coast from 2 May onwards.
  • Those, who are out in deep sea above areas are advised return to the coasts.

 

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